By Louis Henry (Auth.)
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Extra resources for Population. Analysis and Models
Sample text
The first definition is that used in the United Nations Demographic Yearbook. The second is the one currently used in France. These rates are given per thousand with one decimal point, or without the decimal, per 10000. 2 . 2 Natural population change: France, 1930 to 1967 Rate per Numbers in thousands 1000 Infant mortality NuptiaLive births Still births lity Natality Excess of Population Period at middle Total Marriages Divorces Deaths of period Deaths under over finalized Who drew timate deaths 1000 inhabitants) Total per age one Mortality births 1000 inhabitants) Natural (newly (live married people per per age one LegiTotal births (deaths under increase (deaths (excess per 1000 live born children) of births 1000 per 1000 inhabitants) Unad- inhabitants) Ad- justed justed breath rate (a) 1930-1932 41 800 327-9 1935-1937 41 200 279-8 25-3 629-8 1946-1950 41 100 397-4 48-3 860 1 1951-1955 42800 1956-1960 44800 3 1 1 4 1961-1965 47700 1962 46998 23 9 735-4 313-8 31-8 30-7 333 0 32-4 47854 339-5 1964 48411 347-5 1965 48919 346-3 587-8 662-6 21-6 3-4 865-3 874-2 3-7 17-2 3-5 814-3 822-6 17-4 862-3 811-4 529 1 1966 49400 339-7 36-5 860-2 809 1 16 4 1967 49866 345-6 37-2 837-5 786 1 3-3 15-6 516-5 3-4 16 9 540-3 525-5 3 1 18-6 15-5 539-9 +334-7 14-4 14-2 13 9 (a) Infants born alive, but dead before civil registration.
4 principle they should be excluded but this is not always possible. For people who emigrate, it is tempting to substitute their nuptiality abroad for that which they would have had if they had stayed, although their nuptiality abroad depends on conditions which may be very different. 3I t is very unlikely that this hypothesis is true, at least for the population as a whole. On the one hand, there are social and regional differences which affect both nuptiality and mortality. To simplify the situation, let's imagine that there are only two classes, class A with a high mortality and a low definitive probability of remaining single and class Β with low mortality and high definitive probability of remaining single, and that in each class the above hypothesis is true; it will not be true for the whole since at each age class A would be comparatively larger without mortality than it is with it.
The factor of structure does not influence births or deaths; they are classified according to the day when they occur, and the number of these events during one m o n t h is not dependent on the number of days when civil registration offices are open. First method The seasonal component for one month, let us say February, can be isolated by comparing several years' results for February with an average of 12 months centred on the middle of February. This method is thus based on deviations from the 12 months' moving average.