By Harvey S Rosen
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Additional resources for Studies in state and local public finance
Example text
We also must measure when expectations changed. The equations reported in 30 James M. ” An alternative approach would recognize that in many cases information builds gradually over time. This could be implemented by defining indicator variables for the month labeled as the tax event and either the month before or the month afterward. I experimented with these different approaches, and found that the qualitative character of my results was unaffected by them. 2 have described how tax events affect the municipal yield spread.
80 Dec. 80 Jan. N Feb. 81 Aug. 03 (2. 6a (continued) Variable Aug. 43) AUNEMP - ASHARESL - AFEDGRANT - AVOLATILITY - e R2 D. W. 62 NOTE:All equations are estimated for the period 1955: I - 1983: 12, a total of 348 monthly observations. Equations are estimated allowing for a first-order moving average error structure, with MA parameter 8, with a correction for heteroscedasticity. Standard errors are shown in parentheses. 6b Variable Constant May-June 62 Jan. 63 Jan. 67 June 68 Mar. 69 July 69 Sept.
The optimal degree of subsidy vis-a-vis private capital may therefore be greater than, or less than, that currently provided. Finally, the evidence presented here suggests that some of the current proposals to reform municipal financing policies could affect the real cost of public borrowing. Numerical estimates of these effects are still needed. 44 James M. 1 Regression Results Including All Tax Events Maturity class Variables Constant May 59 MayiJune 62 Sept. 62 Jan. 63 Jan. 64 Feb. 61 Jan. 67 May 68 June 68 Mar.