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Markov Chains by Norris J.R.

24 February 2017 adminProbability Statistics

By Norris J.R.

During this rigorous account the writer reports either discrete-time and continuous-time chains. A distinguishing function is an creation to extra complex themes reminiscent of martingales and potentials, within the validated context of Markov chains. There are functions to simulation, economics, optimum regulate, genetics, queues and plenty of different issues, and a cautious choice of routines and examples drawn either from conception and perform. this can be an incredible textual content for seminars on random procedures or for people that are extra orientated in the direction of functions, for complex undergraduates or graduate scholars with a few historical past in easy likelihood idea

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Sample text

28 1. 7. Suppose P is irreducible and recurrent. Then for all j ∈ I we have P(Tj < ∞) = 1. Proof. By the Markov property we have P(Tj < ∞) = P(X0 = i)Pi (Tj < ∞) i∈I (m) so it suffices to show Pi (Tj < ∞) = 1 for all i ∈ I. Choose m with pji > 0. 3, we have 1 = Pj (Xn = j for infinitely many n) = Pj (Xn = j for some n ≥ m + 1) Pj (Xn = j for some n ≥ m + 1 | Xm = k)Pj (Xm = k) = k∈I (m) Pk (Tj < ∞)pjk = k∈I where the final equality uses the Markov property. But we must have Pi (Tj < ∞) = 1. 1, which states are recurrent and which are transient?

3. 8. Remember that irreducibility means that the chain can get from any state to any other, with positive probability. 28 1. 7. Suppose P is irreducible and recurrent. Then for all j ∈ I we have P(Tj < ∞) = 1. Proof. By the Markov property we have P(Tj < ∞) = P(X0 = i)Pi (Tj < ∞) i∈I (m) so it suffices to show Pi (Tj < ∞) = 1 for all i ∈ I. Choose m with pji > 0. 3, we have 1 = Pj (Xn = j for infinitely many n) = Pj (Xn = j for some n ≥ m + 1) Pj (Xn = j for some n ≥ m + 1 | Xm = k)Pj (Xm = k) = k∈I (m) Pk (Tj < ∞)pjk = k∈I where the final equality uses the Markov property.

Again the random times Sm for m ≥ 0 are stopping times and, by the strong Markov property P(Zm+1 = im+1 | Z0 = i1 , . . , Zm = im ) = P(XSm +1 = im+1 | XS0 = i1 , . . , XSm = im ) = Pim (XS1 = im+1 ) = pim im +1 where pii = 0 and, for i = j pij = pij / pik . k=i Thus (Zm )m≥0 is a Markov chain on I with transition matrix P . 1 Let Y1 , Y2 , . . be independent identically distributed random variables with P(Y1 = 1) = P(Y1 = −1) = 1/2 and set X0 = 1, Xn = X0 + Y1 + . . + Yn for n ≥ 1. Define H0 = inf{n ≥ 0 : Xn = 0} .

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